OpenAI’s amazing — but vastly oversold — new model Astra

Astra, a new model that OpenAI is testing internally, is amazing. No denying that:Part I: The Biggest FallacyBut at the same time, a whole raft of people, some fairly prominent, are running around making a deeply flawed argument about the implications. See if you can spot the fallacy. Here are three examples among many.Another tweet went so far as to claim that “the species just crossed a one-way threshold”; Elon Musk took it as evidence that we had reached The Singularity. Each is making essentially the same error.§The fallacy has a name; it’s called the fallacy of composition.The wiki on it is filled with great examples; here are just the first few.What’s the manifestation of the fallacy in the current...

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