Correcting Prompt Dependence in LLM Benchmarks: A Bayesian Hierarchical Model with Embedding-Space Clustering

arXiv:2510.05709v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: LLM benchmarking metrics often misstate performance and uncertainty as they rely on two assumptions that frequently do not hold in practice: (i) a sufficient number of evaluations are available for classical inference, and (ii) test prompts are independent. We propose a corrective Bayesian...

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