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Scalable Uncertainty Quantification for Extreme Weather Forecasting via Empirical Neural Tangent Kernels

Jose Marie Antonio Mi\~noza, Rex Gregor Laylo, Sebastian C. Iba\~nez
Jun 3, 2026 at 04:00
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arXiv:2606.02886v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deep learning weather models now match numerical weather prediction accuracy while running orders of magnitude faster, but produce deterministic forecasts without uncertainty estimates, a critical gap for high-stakes decisions during extreme weather events. This paper proposes Neural Tangent...

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