Import AI 452: Scaling laws for cyberwar; rising tides of AI automation; and a puzzle over gDP forecasting

Welcome to Import AI, a newsletter about AI research. Import AI runs on arXiv and feedback from readers. If you’d like to support this, please subscribe. Subscribe now Uh oh, there’s a scaling war for cyberattacks as well!:…The smarter the system, the better the ability to cyberattack…AI safety research organization Lyptus Research has looked at how well AI systems can perform a variety of cyberoffense tasks and found a clear trend of more advanced models being able to do more advanced forms of cyberattack. “Across frontier models released since 2019, the doubling time is 9.8 months. Restricting to models released since 2024, it steepens to 5.7 months. The most recent frontier models in our study, GPT-5.3 Codex and Opus 4.6,...

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